When rolling two dice What is the probability of getting a sum greater than 3?

When rolling two dice, distinguish between them in some way: a first one and second one, a left and a right, a red and a green, etc. Let (a,b) denote a possible outcome of rolling the two die, with a the number on the top of the first die and b the number on the top of the second die. Note that each of a and b can be any of the integers from 1 through 6. Here is a listing of all the joint possibilities for (a,b):

With the sample space now identified, formal probability theory requires that we identify the possible events. These are always subsets of the sample space, and must form a sigma-algebra. In an example such as this, where the sample space is finite because it has only 36 different outcomes, it is perhaps easiest to simply declare ALL subsets of the sample space to be possible events. That will be a sigma-algebra and avoids what might otherwise be an annoying technical difficulty. We make that declaration with this example of two dice.

With the above declaration, the outcomes where the sum of the two dice is equal to 5 form an event. If we call this event E, we have

E={(1,4),(2,3),(3,2),(4,1)}.

Consider next the probability of E, P(E). Here we need more information. If the two dice are fair and independent , each possibility (a,b) is equally likely. Because there are 36 possibilities in all, and the sum of their probabilities must equal 1, each singleton event {(a,b)} is assigned probability equal to 1/36. Because E is composed of 4 such distinct singleton events, P(E)=4/36= 1/9.

In general, when the two dice are fair and independent, the probability of any event is the number of elements in the event divided by 36.

What if the dice aren't fair, or aren't independent of each other? Then each outcome {(a,b)} is assigned a probability (a number in [0,1]) whose sum over all 36 outcomes is equal to 1. These probabilities aren't all equal, and must be estimated by experiment or inferred from other hypotheses about how the dice are related and and how likely each number is on each of the dice. Then the probability of an event such as E is the sum of the probabilities of the singleton events {(a,b)} that make up E.

Calculates the probability for the following events in a pair of fair dice rolls:
* Probability of any sum from (2-12)
* Probability of the sum being less than, less than or equal to, greater than, or greater than or equal to (2-12)
* The sum being even
* The sum being odd
* The sum being a prime number
* The sum being a non-prime number
* Rolling a list of numbers i.e. (2,5,6,12)
* Simulate (n) Monte Carlo two die simulations. 2 dice calculator
This calculator has 1 input.

One popular way to study probability is to roll dice. A standard die has six sides printed with little dots numbering 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, and 6. If the die is fair (and we will assume that all of them are), then each of these outcomes is equally likely. Since there are six possible outcomes, the probability of obtaining any side of the die is 1/6. The probability of rolling a 1 is 1/6, the probability of rolling a 2 is 1/6, and so on. But what happens if we add another die? What are the probabilities for rolling two dice?

Dice Roll Probability

To correctly determine the probability of a dice roll, we need to know two things:

• The size of the sample space or the set of total possible outcomes
• How often an event occurs

In probability, an event is a certain subset of the sample space. For example, when only one die is rolled, as in the example above, the sample space is equal to all of the values on the die, or the set (1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6). Since the die is fair, each number in the set occurs only once. In other words, the frequency of each number is 1. To determine the probability of rolling any one of the numbers on the die, we divide the event frequency (1) by the size of the sample space (6), resulting in a probability of 1/6.

Rolling two fair dice more than doubles the difficulty of calculating probabilities. This is because rolling one die is independent of rolling a second one. One roll has no effect on the other. When dealing with independent events we use the multiplication rule. The use of a tree diagram demonstrates that there are 6 x 6 = 36 possible outcomes from rolling two dice.

Suppose that the first die we roll comes up as a 1. The other die roll could be a 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, or 6. Now suppose that the first die is a 2. The other die roll again could be a 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, or 6. We have already found 12 potential outcomes, and have yet to exhaust all of the possibilities of the first die.

Probability Table of Rolling Two Dice

The possible outcomes of rolling two dice are represented in the table below. Note that the number of total possible outcomes is equal to the sample space of the first die (6) multiplied by the sample space of the second die (6), which is 36.

1234561(1, 1)(1, 2)(1, 3)(1, 4)(1, 5)(1, 6)2(2, 1)(2, 2)(2, 3)(2, 4)(2, 5)(2, 6)3(3, 1)(3, 2)(3, 3)(3, 4)(3, 5)(3, 6)4(4, 1)(4, 2)(4, 3)(4, 4)(4, 5)(4, 6)5(5, 1)(5, 2)(5, 3)(5, 4)(5, 5)(5, 6)6(6, 1)(6, 2)(6, 3)(6, 4)(6, 5)(6, 6)

Three or More Dice

The same principle applies if we are working on problems involving three dice. We multiply and see that there are 6 x 6 x 6 = 216 possible outcomes. As it gets cumbersome to write the repeated multiplication, we can use exponents to simplify work. For two dice, there are 62 possible outcomes. For three dice, there are 63 possible outcomes. In general, if we roll n dice, then there are a total of 6n possible outcomes.

Sample Problems

With this knowledge, we can solve all sorts of probability problems:

1. Two six-sided dice are rolled. What is the probability that the sum of the two dice is seven?

The easiest way to solve this problem is to consult the table above. You will notice that in each row there is one dice roll where the sum of the two dice is equal to seven. Since there are six rows, there are six possible outcomes where the sum of the two dice is equal to seven. The number of total possible outcomes remains 36. Again, we find the probability by dividing the event frequency (6) by the size of the sample space (36), resulting in a probability of 1/6.

2. Two six-sided dice are rolled. What is the probability that the sum of the two dice is three?

In the previous problem, you may have noticed that the cells where the sum of the two dice is equal to seven form a diagonal. The same is true here, except in this case there are only two cells where the sum of the dice is three. That is because there are only two ways to get this outcome. You must roll a 1 and a 2 or you must roll a 2 and a 1. The combinations for rolling a sum of seven are much greater (1 and 6, 2 and 5, 3 and 4, and so on). To find the probability that the sum of the two dice is three, we can divide the event frequency (2) by the size of the sample space (36), resulting in a probability of 1/18.

3. Two six-sided dice are rolled. What is the probability that the numbers on the dice are different?

Again, we can easily solve this problem by consulting the table above. You will notice that the cells where the numbers on the dice are the same form a diagonal. There are only six of them, and once we cross them out we have the remaining cells in which the numbers on the dice are different. We can take the number of combinations (30) and divide it by the size of the sample space (36), resulting in a probability of 5/6.

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Taylor, Courtney. "Probabilities for Rolling Two Dice." ThoughtCo. https://www.thoughtco.com/probabilities-of-rolling-two-dice-3126559 (accessed December 14, 2022).

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